Monday, 16 May 2011

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Practical Ways of Doing Day Trading

Analyze, Wait, Watch and then Trade
This sentence looks time consuming like analyze, wait, watch and then trade when to do all this and they to get profit? 
Answer is - For newcomers it may take an hour and for experienced trades it may takes seconds or minutes.

- First analyze the market and then particular share - It is very important to know how the entire market is going to be today before start trading.
- Check out whether the market is going to be Bullish, Bearish or going to trade in very narrow range. 
- Check out how American markets have closed at yesterday night, how Asian markets are trading in the morning (they open before Indian markets)

Once you get the knowledge how the market is going to move (it is totally acceptable that it is not possible to judge it 100% accurate but you should have at least 50 to 70% knowledge) then act accordingly. 
Always trade in the market direction.
In bullish trend - buy and then sell bullish shares
In bearish trend - Short sell and then buy bearish shares
In very narrow range trading - Wait for right opportunity and then enter into trade. “Every day is not trading day”.

It is important to know the status of American markets because mostly it has been observed that based on American markets Asian markets open in the morning at 8.30 am and finally Indian markets open at 9:00 am.

Mostly (80 to 90%) it has been observed that Indian markets follow global markets. 
American indices are NASDAQ and DOW.
Important Asian markets are Nikkei, HangSeng, Taiwan etc

At afternoon 1.30 pm European markets open and mostly it has been observed that our Indian markets reacts to European markets.

For example - If European markets open in negative then there are chances that our Indian market may also move some downside (if already Red then further downtrend will continue and if in Green then may some pressure on upper side) 
If European markets open in Green then it is expected that Indian markets will recover (if in Red) and if already in green then continue their upward journey.



Act accordingly
- It is always profitable to act in accordance with the market direction and not against market direction.
- If market is in green and continue its upward journey then you should plan to buy and then sell.
- If market is in Red continue its downward then you should plan to short sell and then buy.
- This will increase the chances of more success and more profitable because most of the time it has been observed that shares also move in accordance with the market so it becomes easy to go with the flow and not against the flow (market).
- Because everybody is buying and if you do short sell then definitely your trade will end up in loss and if market is falling and if you buy then also your trade will end up in loss.
- Never trade against market direction. 
- Once you analyze the market now its turn to analyze the specific share.


Analyze specific share- Once you get the at least some knowledge of market direction/status then you can act on choosing the shares which are moving in accordance with the market especially nifty, Jr nifty, sensex other indices related shares.
Note - You can choose any share but it’s our experience to choose indices related shares to have more liquidity and easy to enter and exit from the trade. 
For example - if you come to know that market is going to be bullish and going to remain in green at least for some more time then you can choose bullish shares for trading and if you come to know that market is going to be bearish and going to    remain in red then you can choose bearish shares.

- Once you get the shares according to market direction than you can start analyzing whether they are moving according to market or not.
- It is possible that some shares may not move or may not react immediately and some may move or react quickly so you should analyze all these parameters and select shares for your trading.
- Once you analyze the shares and decide your shares for trading then Wait and Watch. 
- Initially this all process seems to be time consuming but as you proceed ahead and start gaining experience this process becomes very easy and fast.

Wait and Watch- Wait and watch are two very important parameters which will decide to give you a big profit or small profit or big loss or small loss, so follow it very seriously.
- Once you analyze the specific share and market movements keep continuous watch on direction on both of them.
- You should always keep continuous watch on market because if market changes the direction then your shares are also going to change the direction.
- Here your paper trading experience will comes into picture, so still if you not feeling confident you can stop actual trading 
- “We always recommend entering late in trade and taking small profit instead entering early and making losses”.
- Wait and keep watching until you get any signal either buy or short sell.
- Don’t hurry to enter into trade because market is open for 6 hours and your first trade is important to make up your mood so if you do profit in first trade then definitely this will boost your confidence going forward.  
- Write down your experience.
- Only trade when you are sure about the market and share direction or else leave the trading for that day.- “Please remember money saved is money earned.”


Now the final step is to act and tradeTill now you would have followed the rule Analyze, Wait and Watch. If you are still not confident or feeling nervous and fearful then stop trading immediately and go again for paper trading practice and keep doing practice until you feel confident and earn profits and then come for actual trading.


We are always keep reminding you to do paper trading practice because your money is hard earned and we don’t want you to loose it unnecessary. You came to our website to earn money and believe us that we are the happiest people to see your success.


Important point to noteTrading of shares is not important as it is only the buying and selling of shares and this can be done by anybody if you tell him the share name, buying price and selling price even a small boy who can read the English words can do trading.

The important steps towards successful trading are analyzing the market and share, doing proper interpretation, taking appropriate decision and then finally trade.


Final step is trading- Act in accordance with market; never ever go against market direction.
- Buy call - If you analyzed that Market is bullish or is expected to trade in green then you can trade on bullish shares by buying the shares and then selling them.
- Don’t short sell and keep waiting when the market or the share price will come down and you will square off your trade. 
- Short Sell call - If you analyzed that market is expected to be bearish and will remain same for some more time then you can plan on short sell call (first sell and then buy the share when its price comes down) and then buy the share. Don’t do reverse   (like first buy and wait for market or stock to come up) in bearish market.
 
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Seven Mistakes Traders Make

MISTAKE ONE
Lack of Knowledge and No Plan It amazes us that some people expect to trade the stock market successfully without any effort. Yet if they want to take up golf, for example, they will happily take some lessons or at least read a book before heading out onto the course. The stock market is not the place for the ill informed. But learning what you need is straightforward you just need someone to show you the way. The opposite extreme of this is those traders who spend their life looking for the Holy Grail of trading! Been there, done that! The truth is, there is no Holy Grail. But the good news is that you don't need it. Our trading system is highly successful, easy to learn and low risk.
 
MISTAKE TWO
Unrealistic Expectations Many novice traders expect to make a gazillion dollars by next Thursday. Or they start to write out their resignation letter before they have even placed their first trade! Now, don't get us wrong. The stock market can be a great way to replace your current income and for creating wealth but it does require time. Not a lot, but some. So don't tell your boss where to put his job, just yet! Other beginners think that trading can be 100% accurate all the time. Of course this is unrealistic. But the best thing is that with our methods you only need to get 50-60% of your trades "right" to be successful and highly profitable.
 
MISTAKE THREE
Listening to Others When traders first start out they often feel like they know nothing and that everyone else has the answers. So they listen to all the news reports and so called "experts" and get totally confused. And they take "tips" from their buddy, who got it from some cab driver we will show you how you can get to know everything you need to know and so never have to listen to anyone else, ever again!
 
MISTAKE FOUR
Getting in the Way By this we mean letting your ego or your emotions get in the way of doing what you know you need to do. When you first start to trade it is very difficult to control your emotions. Fear and greed can be overwhelming. Lack of discipline; lack of patience and over confidence are just some of the other problems that we all face. It is critical you understand how to control this side of trading. There is also one other key that almost no one seems to talk about. But more on this another time!
 
MISTAKE FIVE
Poor Money Management It never ceases to amaze us how many traders don't understand the critical nature of money management and the related area of risk management. This is a critical aspect of trading. If you don't get this right you not only won't be successful, you won't survive! Fortunately, it is not complex to address and the simple steps we can show you will ensure that you don't "blow up" and that you get to keep your profits.
 
MISTAKE SIX
Only Trading Market in One Direction Most new traders only learn how to trade a rising market. And very few traders know really good strategies for trading in a falling market. If you don't learn to trade "both" sides of the market, you are drastically limiting the number of trades you can take. And this limits the amount of money you can make. We can show you a simple strategy that allows you to profit when stocks fall.
 
MISTAKE SEVEN
Overtrading Most traders new to trading feel they have to be in the market all the time to make any real money. And they see trading opportunities when they're not even there. We can show you simple techniques that ensure you only "pull the trigger" when you should. And how trading less can actually make you more!

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How to analyze the company before investing

= What is Fundamental Analysis
= Invest in Good Company
= Earnings
= Current Valuations of the Shares
= Future Earnings Growth
= Debit status of the Company
 
= What is Fundamental analysis?Fundamental analysis is basically done for long term and mid term investment which is also called as delivery based investment or trading.
The main important aim behind is to study and understand the company in which you are planning to invest your hard earned money and get excellent returns.

How to analyze the fundamentals of the company?Basically one should be able to judge at least how the company has done in past years, its debit status, its current valuation, its future growth prospects, its earning capacity etc 
So that based on these terms he can at least decide whether to invest in this company or not.

= What you should look for in a company to invest?
1. About Company
 - 
What the company is doing and what are its businesses?
How is the current demand for their products and how the demand will be in future like in next 3 to 5 years and so? (It is difficult to analyze the future demand yourself so you can visit financial websites or contact us)

2. Earnings - 
This is very important parameter. Broadly look into its last 5 or 10 years earnings whether the company has posted profits or losses.
It’s all about earnings. The bottom line is investors want to know how much money the company is making and how much it is going to make in the future. 
To find the earning status ratios used are EPS - Earning per share

3. Current valuation
 - 
This is another very important factor which most of the investor forgets while doing their investments. 
Generally most of the investors invest at higher valuations of shares and when share prices start coming down then they keep worrying, so this should not happen.
Before investing one should check the current valuation of the share price and invest only when the share price is at right price and not at over priced share.
This is what happened in January 2008. Most of the people invested at very high valuations and later on the share prices started to correct (falling down).
To find the current valuation of the stock the ratios used are 
PE ratio - Price to earning ratio
Book value 
PB ratio - Price to book value ratio

4. Future earnings growth -
It is very important to analyze how the company is going to do in future. How will be its returns or its profits etc?
Basically most of the investors invest in shares taking into consideration Company’s future growth prospects.
To find the future growth of the stock the ratios used are 
PEG ratio - Price to earning growth ratio
Current EPS and Forward EPS
Price to sales ratio


5. Debit status
 - 
For any company to perform well in the future it is very important to be debt free or less debit because if company is having large debits like borrowings, loans then it becomes difficult for it to plan for any acquisitions, expansion plans take over plans, dividend   payout and very important its most of the net profit goes in paying the interest and loans and other debits.
So in other words if the company is having fewer debits or no debit then they are having lots of cash in hand and they are free to take any decision in coming future.
To find the debit status of the company the ratios used are 
Debit ratio
So to accomplish above parameters fundamental analyst follow certain ratios which are mentioned below.
 
Earnings
Earning Per Share - EPS
EPS plays major role in investment decision. 
EPS is calculated by taking the net earnings of the company and dividing it by the outstanding shares. 

EPS = Net Earnings / Outstanding Shares (Nowadays you will get this ready made, no need for you to do calculation.)

For example - 
If Company A had earnings of RS 1000 crores and 100 shares outstanding, then its EPS becomes 10 (RS 1000 / 100 = 10). 
Second example - 
If Company B had earnings of RS 1000 crores and 500 shares outstanding, then its EPS becomes 2 (RS 1000 / 500 = 50). 

So what is that you have to look in EPS of the company?
Answer - You should look for high EPS stocks and the higher the better is the stock.

Note - You should compare the EPS from one company to another, which are in the same industry/sector and not from one company from Auto sector and another company from IT sector. 

Before we move on, you should note that there are three types of EPS numbers: 

Trailing EPS - Trailing EPS means last year’s EPS which is considered as actual and for ongoing current year.

Current EPS
 - Current EPS means which is still under projections and going to come on financial year end.

Forward EPS
 - Forward EPS which is again under projections and going to come on next financial year end

But the EPS alone doesn’t tell you the whole story of the company so for this information, we need to look at some more ratios as following.
It’s not advisable to make your investment decisions based on only single ratio analysis.
EPS is the base for calculating PE ratio.

Importance of Earnings -
Earnings are profits. Quarterly or yearly company’s increasing earnings generally makes its stock price move up and in some cases some companies pay out a regular dividend. This is Bullish sign and indicates that the company’s is in growth.

When the company declares low earnings then the market may see bearishness in the stock price and hence its share price starts deceasing and corrects further if the company doesn’t provide any sufficient justification for low earnings.
  
Every quarter, companies report its earnings. There are 4 quarters. 

Quarter 1 - (April to June and earnings will be declared in July)
Quarter 2 - (July to Sept and earnings will be declared in Oct)
Quarter 3 - (Oct to Dec and earnings will be declared in Jan)
Quarter 4/final - Also called as financial year end - (Jan to Mar and earnings will be declared in April)

Now by this time you would have understood how earnings are important for a stock price to move up or down. But depending only on earnings one should not make investment or trading decision. To make decision more risk free you should look into more tools as mentioned below so that your investment decision becomes more solid and you should get excellent returns in future. 

Conclusion - Keep a close watch on quarterly earnings and trade or invest accordingly or manipulate your investing.

Following are the most popular and important tools/ratios to find excellent growth stocks which focuses on earning, growth, and value of the company’s. 
To make you understand more easily we have explained in very simple steps.

= Current Valuations of the shares
Price to Earnings Ratio - PE ratio
PE ratio is again one of the most important ratio on which most of the traders and investors keep watch. 
Important - The PE ratio tells you whether the stock’s price is high or low compared to its forward earnings. 
The high P/E suggests that investors are expecting higher earnings growth in the future compared to companies with a lower P/E. This generally happen in bull market and share price keeps on increasing. Basically in bull market share prices keep increasing without giving more importance to its current valuation and once market realizes that it is over priced then they start selling.
In bear market the low PE stocks having high growth prospects are selected as best investment options.

But, the P/E ratio doesn't tell us the whole story of the company.
Generally the P/E ratios are compared of one company to other companies in the same sector/industry and not in other industry before selecting any particular share.

The PE ratio is calculated by taking the share price and dividing it by the companies EPS.
That is 
PE = Stock Price / EPS 

For example
A company with a share price of RS 40 and an EPS of 8 would have a PE ratio of 5 
(RS 40 / 8 = 5). 

Importance - The PE ratio gives you an idea of what the market is willing to pay for the companies earning. 
The higher the P/E the more the market is willing to pay for the companies earning. 
Some investors say that a high P/E ratio means the stock is over priced on the other side it also indicates the market has high hopes for such company’s future growth and due to which market is ready to pay high price. 
On the other side, a low P/E of high growth stocks may indicate that the market has ignored these stocks which are also known as value stocks. Many investors try finding low P/E ratios stocks of high value growth companies and make investments in such stocks which may prove real diamonds in future.
Which P/E ratio to choose?  
If you believe that the companies has good long term prospects and good growth then one should not hesitate to invest in high P/E ratio stocks and if you are looking for value stocks which prove real diamonds in future then you can go with low PE stocks provided that companies has good growth and expansions plans.
At all if you would like to do PE ratio comparison then it has to be done in same sectors/industry stocks and not like one stock from banking sector and other stock from pharmacy sector.
So now you would have come to know how to choose stocks based on PE ratio.
What is book value?Book value is the total value of the company's assets that shareholders would theoretically receive if a company were liquidated (closed).
By being compared to the company's market value, the book value can indicate whether a stock is under priced or overpriced.
So in other words if the share price is trading below its book value then it is considered as under priced and good for value investing.

Price to Book Ratio - PB ratio
Basically PB ratio is mostly utilized by smart investors to find real wealth in shares, so investing in stocks having low PB ratio is to identify potential shares for future growth.

A lower P/B ratio could mean that the stock is undervalued.

Like the PE, the lower the PB, the better the value of the stock for future growth. 

Some of the investors become quite wealthy by holding stocks for the long term of such companies whose growth is based on their businesses instead of market and one day when every one notices this stock the value investor’s pockets are full of profit. 

PB ratio is calculated as 
PB ratio = Share Price / Book Value per Share.
Generally, if the ratio comes below 1 then it is considered as value investing. But this doesn’t mean that the ratio coming to 1.2 or 1.5 is not value investing. It also depends on its future growth prospects.

= Future earnings growth

Projected Earning Growth ratio - PEG ratio
Because the market is usually more concerned about the future than the present, it is always looking for companies projected plans, financial ratios, and other future announcements. 

The use of PEG ratio will help you look at future earnings growth of the company.

PEG is a widely used indicator of a stock's potential value.
Similar to the P/E ratio, a lower PEG means that the stock is more undervalued.

To calculate the PEG the P/E is divided by the projected growth in earnings. 

That is PEG = P/E / (projected growth in earnings) 
For example - 
A stock with a P/E of 30 and projected earning growth for next year is 15% then that stock would have a PEG of 2 (30 / 15 = 2). 
In above example what does the “2” mean? 

Lower the PEG ratio the less you pay for each unit in future earning growth. So the conclusion is you can invest in high P/E stocks but the projected earning growth should be high so that companies can provide good returns. 

Looking at the opposite situation; a low P/E stock with low or no projected earnings growth is not going to give you good returns in future because its PE is low means investors are not ready to pay high and its PEG is also low because companies do not have any good future growth or expansion plans so investment in such stocks could prove less or no returns.

A few important things to remember about PEG:
It is about year-to-year earnings growth. 
It relies on projections, which may not always be accurate.
It’s forward earning estimation which market analyst or company calculates. 

Following two ratios are again the projection or estimation done by either market analyst or by company resources.

Current EPS
 - Current EPS means which is still under projections and going to come on financial year end.

Forward EPS
 - Forward EPS which is again under projections and going to come on next financial year end.


Price to Sales Ratio
The question is, is it that companies having no current earnings are bad investments? 
Answer is Not necessarily, because such companies may be new and trying to grow and expand but you should approach such companies with precaution.

The Price to Sales (P/S) ratio looks at the current stock price relative to the total sales per share. 

You can calculate the P/S by dividing the market cap of the company by the total revenues of the company. 

You can also calculate the P/S by dividing the current stock price by the sales per share. 

That is 
P/S = Market Cap / Revenues 
or 
P/S = Stock Price / Sales Price per Share 

Conclusion - To find under valued stocks you can look for low P/S ratios.

The lower the P/S ratio the better is the value of the company. 

= Debit status of the Company
Debit Ratio

This is one the very important ratio as this tells you how much company relies on debit to finance its assets.
The higher the ratio the more risk for company to manage going forward. So look for company’s having low debit ratio. 
Generally it is considered that debit ratio less then 1is good investment option. But even some investor considers higher debit ratio provided the company is having good growth prospects.

If company has fewer debits then company can make more profit instead paying for its debits like interests rates, loans etc.

Dividend Yield
If you are a value investor or looking for dividend income then you should look for Dividend Yield figure of the stock.
This measurement tells you what percentage return a companies pays out to shareholders in the form of dividends. Older, well-established companies tend to payout a higher percentage then do younger companies and their dividend history can be more consistent. 

You calculate the Dividend Yield by taking the annual dividend per share and divide by the stock’s price. 
That is 
Dividend Yield = annual dividend per share / stock's price per share 

For example
If a company’s annual dividend is RS 1.50 and the stock trades at RS 25, the Dividend Yield is 6%. (RS 1.50 / RS 25 = 0.06). 

Important Note
 - Any single tool or ratio should not be used to make your investment or trading decision nor will they provide you any buy or sell recommendation. All tools should be used to find growth and value stocks. 
After making use of above all tools you will get excellent stocks which will give you excellent returns in mid term to long term. 
You will find all these ratios in any financial website or you can contact us.

Final and last - very important




Check out company’s PAT (profit after tax) of every quarterly if you are short term to mid term trader and if you are long term investor then check out its yearly PAT. The company should have posted consistent growth. 


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JUST SEND ONE TIME SMS AND GET TOTALLY FREE INDIAN STOCK MARKET TIPS EVERYDAY.
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India Advisory Stock Research
 

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